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Foldable iPhone on the way? Apple’s three-year overhaul includes curved glass and an ultra-thin new model
uSMART盈立智投 08-25 16:07
 

Starting in 2025, Apple plans three consecutive years of major design changes to iPhone—an all-new ultra-thin “iPhone Air” (media shorthand) this fall, a foldable iPhone in 2026, and a 20th-anniversary edition in 2027 with a more aggressive curved-glass design. It’s widely viewed as the most significant exterior refresh since the flat-edge frame returned in 2020. Multiple tech outlets and sell-side notes have mapped this trajectory, making it one of the most watched mid-cycle signals for Apple’s product lineup.

(Image source: Internet)

 

Roadmap & form-factor highlights: from “thinner” to “foldable,” then to “curved glass”

Within the iPhone 17 family this fall, Apple is expected to introduce a new ultra-thin sub-line commonly referred to by media as “iPhone Air.” The focus is on thinness and in-hand feel. Rumors suggest Apple may trade off camera count, migrate the SIM form factor toward eSIM, and tighten motherboard stacking—while trialing an Apple-designed cellular modem to free up internal volume. Positioning-wise, it’s broadly seen as a shape-successor to Plus, meant to reignite mainstream attention via a visibly distinct look. According to MacRumors roundups, an ultra-thin chassis, 120Hz, a 6.6-inch display, and an Apple-designed modem are frequent supply-chain refrains.

In 2026, the foldable iPhone becomes the true wild card. Reports favor a book-style inward fold with a cover display, targeting an experience closer to a foldable iPad mini. More aggressive chatter includes a quad-camera setup, the return of Touch ID (coexisting with or replacing Face ID remains unclear), and adoption of an Apple-designed cellular modem. Key challenges are crease visibility and yields on the inner screen; suppliers are testing alternate touch integration and cover-stack schemes to mitigate creasing. On the market side, pricing could reach ≥ US$2,000, lifting ASP (average selling price); even without explosive unit growth, a higher mix could improve margin structure.

By 2027, Apple is expected to cap the trilogy with a 20th-anniversary edition defined by narrower bezels and quad-curved glass—another push toward an “all-screen” look. Whether under-display selfie camera / under-display Face IDships remains debated, but near-bezel-less visual unity and manufacturing (hot-bending, lamination, drop resistance) would anchor recognition. In design language, this generation would create a clear break from the flat-edge era, closing the three-year narrative loop.

 

Cadence & product strategy: premium first, baseline later—events “shift gears”

Cross-reads from Korean channel sources and tech media indicate that fall 2026 may feature only flagship and foldable models, while the baseline iPhone 18 and entry 18e slide to spring 2027. If realized, Apple’s launch cadence would evolve from a single annual drop to “premium in fall + mainstream in spring.” That should free narrative space for the foldable, boost ASP concentration in a single quarter, and help the supply chain with allocation and channel inventory digestion. For investors, this staggering could re-shape seasonality in earnings, shifting valuation anchors toward mix and gross-margin quality rather than one-quarter shipments.

 

Supply chain & ecosystem: panels, hinges, glass, and assembly see “value per unit” rise

Foldables and curved designs rewrite the engineering rulebook: UTG (ultra-thin glass) + inward-fold OLED set ceilings via yield and crease control; hinge architectures must juggle thickness, durability, and feel; quad-curved glassraises the bar for hot-forming, lamination, and drop performance.

For suppliers, panel, hinge, and structural components could see higher value per device. Industry chatter also points to Apple evaluating different touch-in-panel integrations and cover stacks to reduce crease visibility; meanwhile the iPhone Air push toward thinness plus an Apple-designed modem would prompt system-level shifts in board stacking, RF, and thermal design.

 

Market reaction & trading lens: two things—cadence proof and foldable pricing

Near-term “expectation gaps” hinge on two factors: (1) whether the cadence shift materializes (flagships in fall, baseline in spring); and (2) the price/spec fences of the foldable iPhone. If pricing moves up and the device acts as a price-lever + form-factor test bed, AAPL’s valuation elasticity likely comes from mix uplift rather than unit spikes. Medium term, watch the synergy between AI capability and new form factors—on-device generation, system-level AI, and a more natural Siri—plus usage expansion from foldables/curves. Those will shape the reputation curve and lifecycle across the 2025–2027 product years. As always, these points are based on public reporting and supply-chain indications; final specs are subject to Apple’s official announcements.

 

How to Buy Apple on uSMART

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(image source:uSMART HK app)

 

 

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